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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did -68.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-68.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$572.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1.07M
Last 30 days +$0 · $4.33M volume · 2,131 trades · since Jun 19, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$446.3k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$613.0k
Closed-position win rate
33%
12 closed
Wallet age · markets
127d
17 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -68.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | MED BUY No @ 33¢ | $66.0k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | MED BUY No @ 38¢ | $124.6k | excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | MED BUY Yes @ 63¢ | $127.1k | excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $46.6k | missed |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | MED BUY No @ 33¢ | $72.6k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | MED BUY No @ 42¢ | $136.1k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x24c5de…