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FishfulThinking

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$43.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$10.6k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.09M volume · 1,642 trades · since Apr 24, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$11.9k
Open P&L · 27 positions
−$19.2k
Closed-position win rate
83%
257 closed
Wallet age · markets
183d
271 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL Yes @ 88¢ $10.6k12% 122d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.0k0% 124d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.1k0% 129d agoexcluded
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.1k0% 132d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9b5722…