← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 41% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.4 pts over 28 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.5k
BUY No @ 41¢ · 25,640 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet sbsigner took No (buy) for $10.5k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 41% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 41¢ means
41%chance the market gave
+144American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 41¢
- Implied odds
- 41.0%
- As American odds
- +144 no vig
- Size
- $10.5k
- Placed
- Jun 22, 13:37 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 22, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- sbsigner
- Tx
- 0xda1cadaa…
This wallet's graded record
11/28-3.4 pts
expected 11.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -41 ptsNo price · entry 41¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $42.2k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.2k | excluded |