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contessa1

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$46.0k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$14.3k
Last 30 days −$14.9k · $516.4k volume · 40 trades · since Jun 22, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$24.5k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$19.4k
Closed-position win rate
79%
19 closed
Wallet age · markets
124d
25 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?LOW SELL Yes @ 93.1¢ $11.2k7% 120d agoexcluded
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?LOW BUY Yes @ 92.9¢ $11.2k93% 120d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.2k0% 121d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?LOW SELL Yes @ 85¢ $12.4k15% 123d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x531aaa…