← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $18.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.5k
SELL Yes @ 62¢ · 29,851 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet johniuy took Yes (sell) for $18.5k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 62¢
- Implied odds
- 38.0%
- As American odds
- +163 no vig
- Size
- $18.5k
- Placed
- Jun 22, 13:22 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 22, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- johniuy
- Tx
- 0xaf5371c5…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+29.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -38 ptsYes price · entry 62¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $42.2k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.2k | excluded |