← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 34% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.4 pts over 28 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.3k
BUY No @ 34¢ · 30,303 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet sbsigner took No (buy) for $10.3k at an average 34¢. At that price the market implied a 34% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 34¢ means
34%chance the market gave
+194American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 34¢
- Implied odds
- 34.0%
- As American odds
- +194 no vig
- Size
- $10.3k
- Placed
- Jun 22, 01:27 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 22, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- sbsigner
- Tx
- 0x0fa13f2a…
This wallet's graded record
11/28-3.4 pts
expected 11.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -34 ptsNo price · entry 34¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $42.2k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.2k | excluded |