PMM888

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +4.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+4.0 pts

Called / graded

1/2

Expected from price

0.9

Flagged volume

$188.0k

Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.9 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$75.7k

Last 30 days +$0 · $2.78M volume · 447 trades · since May 28, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$91.6k

Open P&L · 101 positions

−$170.0k

Closed-position win rate

79%

165 closed

Wallet age · markets

149d

251 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	0	0.4	-39.0 pts
Other	1	1	0.5	+47.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢	$15.4k	57%	104d ago	excluded
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance	LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢	$16.2k	0%	104d ago	excluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢	$19.7k	54%	111d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	LOW BUY Yes @ 87¢	$19.9k	87%	112d ago	excluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$25.4k	0%	121d ago	excluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	LOW BUY Yes @ 76¢	$19.3k	76%	121d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	LOW BUY Yes @ 67¢	$26.0k	67%	123d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢	$10.0k	64%	129d ago	excluded
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢	$16.1k	53%	146d ago	called
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 39¢	$20.0k	39%	146d ago	missed

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?excluded

BUY Yes @ 57¢$15.4k

LOW PMM888 · 104d ago

Norway vs. England: Team to Advanceexcluded

SELL England @ 99.8¢$16.2k

LOW PMM888 · 104d ago

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?excluded

BUY Yes @ 54¢$19.7k

LOW PMM888 · 111d ago

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?excluded

BUY Yes @ 87¢$19.9k

LOW PMM888 · 112d ago

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$25.4k

LOW PMM888 · 121d ago

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?excluded

BUY Yes @ 76¢$19.3k

LOW PMM888 · 121d ago

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?excluded

BUY Yes @ 67¢$26.0k

LOW PMM888 · 123d ago

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?excluded

BUY Yes @ 64¢$10.0k

LOW PMM888 · 129d ago

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?called

BUY Yes @ 53¢$16.1k

LOW PMM888 · 146d ago

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?missed

BUY Yes @ 39¢$20.0k

LOW PMM888 · 146d ago

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