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What this means. A wallet put $16.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 34% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.5k
SELL Yes @ 66¢ · 25,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet trillionaire took Yes (sell) for $16.5k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied a 34% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 66¢
- Implied odds
- 34.0%
- As American odds
- +194 no vig
- Size
- $16.5k
- Placed
- Jun 22, 13:02 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 22, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- trillionaire
- Tx
- 0xbdc8e7ee…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-48.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -34 ptsYes price · entry 66¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $42.2k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.2k | excluded |