ccn023390

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.3 wins, so it did +23.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+23.3 pts

Called / graded

3/3

Expected from price

2.3

Flagged volume

$322.2k

Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.1 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$95.8k

Last 30 days +$0 · $3.84M volume · 937 trades · since Apr 22, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$41.9k

Open P&L · 54 positions

−$143.6k

Closed-position win rate

63%

73 closed

Wallet age · markets

185d

119 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	3	3	2.3	+23.3 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	LOW SELL Argentina @ 13¢	$14.7k	87%	108d ago	excluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	LOW BUY Argentina @ 86¢	$99.5k 2.7× usual	86%	108d ago	called
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	LOW SELL Yes @ 58¢	$17.3k	42%	112d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢	$37.9k	86%	112d ago	missed
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢	$26.5k	78%	115d ago	called
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	MED BUY Yes @ 83¢	$35.1k	83%	120d ago	excluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢	$41.9k	84%	121d ago	called
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢	$49.3k	68%	123d ago	called

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advanceexcluded

SELL Argentina @ 13¢$14.7k

LOW ccn023390 · 108d ago

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancecalled

BUY Argentina @ 86¢$99.5k

LOW ccn023390 · 108d ago

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?excluded

SELL Yes @ 58¢$17.3k

LOW ccn023390 · 112d ago

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?missed

BUY Yes @ 86¢$37.9k

LOW ccn023390 · 112d ago

Will France win on 2026-06-30?called

BUY Yes @ 78¢$26.5k

LOW ccn023390 · 115d ago

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?excluded

BUY Yes @ 83¢$35.1k

MED ccn023390 · 120d ago

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?called

BUY Yes @ 84¢$41.9k

LOW ccn023390 · 121d ago

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?called

BUY Yes @ 68¢$49.3k

LOW ccn023390 · 123d ago

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