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What this means. A wallet put $53.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$53.2k
BUY No @ 95.9¢ · 55,500 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet 0x9bb1…4dbe took No (buy) for $53.2k at an average 95.9¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $53.2k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2313American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.9¢
- Implied odds
- 95.9%
- As American odds
- −2313 no vig
- Size
- $53.2k
- Placed
- Jul 05, 18:26 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 06, 02:13 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x9bb1…4dbe
- Tx
- 0xccf6f2c0…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+4.1 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +4 ptsNo price · entry 95.9¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $115.6k 6.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 95.9¢ | $89.2k | called |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 4.7¢ | $20.1k | missed |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 95.5¢ | $20.0k | called |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 95.7¢ | $16.1k | called |