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+$23No · avg 90¢ → 96.2¢ · $365
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -2.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-2.7 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$46.5k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±18.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$121.9k
Last 30 days +$127 · $4.46M volume · 11,089 trades · since Jun 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$417.4k
Open P&L · 96 positions
−$194.8k
Closed-position win rate
68%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
859d
564 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.1 | -2.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 95.5¢ | $20.0k | called |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 90.1¢ | $26.5k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xdfda01…