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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -22.8 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-22.8 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$154.9k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$15.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.53M volume · 59 trades · since Jul 05, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$21.8k
Open P&L · 11 positions
−$72.7k
Closed-position win rate
100%
1 closed
Wallet age · markets
110d
12 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | -22.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 59¢ | $11.5k | missed |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 41¢ | $32.0k | called |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 18¢ | $19.5k | missed |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL Yes @ 21¢ | $39.1k | called |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 4.7¢ | $20.1k | missed |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY Yes @ 8.9¢ | $32.7k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7899c0…