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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 4 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 3.8 wins, so it did +4.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+4.1 pts
Called / graded
4/4
Expected from price
3.8
Flagged volume
$1.57M
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±9.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$57.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $14.68M volume · 3,091 trades · since Jun 03, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$99.7k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
87%
263 closed
Wallet age · markets
143d
261 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 4 | 3.8 | +4.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp | LOW BUY Botic van de Zandschulp @ 82¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx | LOW BUY Francisco Cerundolo @ 40¢ | $21.4k | excluded |
 US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez | LOW BUY Jessica Pegula @ 84¢ | $40.3k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Harry Wendelken | LOW BUY Luciano Darderi @ 91.1¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima | LOW BUY Taylor Fritz @ 64¢ | $23.0k | excluded |
 Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox | LOW BUY Athletics @ 94¢ | $47.0k | excluded |
| Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox | LOW SELL Athletics @ 72¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox | LOW SELL Boston Red Sox @ 27¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox | LOW BUY Boston Red Sox @ 90¢ | $90.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonova | LOW BUY Liudmila Samsonova @ 91¢ | $18.2k | excluded |
| National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez | LOW BUY Leylah Fernandez @ 98.4¢ | $39.7k | excluded |
| National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys | LOW BUY Marta Kostyuk @ 97.5¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Spain @ 91.1¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $258.8k 6.5× usual |
excluded |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 94.1¢ | $47.0k | called |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 96.8¢ | $112.3k 2.8× usual |
called |
 Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $399.2k 10.0× usual |
excluded |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 97¢ | $168.0k 4.2× usual |
called |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 95.9¢ | $53.2k | called |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $98.8k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9bb1bc…