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What this means. A wallet put $258.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$258.8k
BUY No @ 98.5¢ · 262,813 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite3 fills in 1h6.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x9bb1…4dbe took No (buy) for $258.8k at an average 98.5¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $258.8k+3
Near-certain price-2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−6495American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.5¢
- Implied odds
- 98.5%
- As American odds
- −6495 no vig
- Size
- $258.8k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 19:38 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 12, 02:56 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x9bb1…4dbe
- Tx
- 0xc486f671…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+4.1 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 98.5¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | HIGH SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $439.6k | excluded |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $81.9k | excluded |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $65.0k | excluded |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $433.4k | excluded |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $153.6k 4.5× usual |
excluded |