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What this means. A wallet put $439.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$439.6k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 440,000 shares
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog sideFresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2cf1…3ec7 took No (sell) for $439.6k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $439.6k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $439.6k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 23:46 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 12, 02:56 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x2cf1…3ec7
- Tx
- 0xa54c13dd…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $81.9k | excluded |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $65.0k | excluded |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $433.4k | excluded |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $153.6k 4.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $15.7k | excluded |