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What this means. A wallet put $65.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
$65.0k
SELL No @ 99.3¢ · 65,477 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports

What happened

Wallet jinwujinshu took No (sell) for $65.0k at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $65.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.3¢
Implied odds
0.7%
As American odds
+13860 no vig
Size
$65.0k
Placed
Jul 11, 23:35 EDT
Market close
Jul 12, 02:56 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
jinwujinshu
Tx
0xad860ed4…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+21.6 pts
expected 0.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -1 pts
No price · entry 99.3¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.3¢ · $65.0k WHALE $65.0K @ 99.3¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?HIGH SELL No @ 99.9¢ $439.6k0% 0x2cf1…3ec7 NEW104d agoexcluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $81.9k100% CenterStage104d agoexcluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ $13.7k99% Prometheusssss104d agoexcluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?MED BUY No @ 98.5¢ $433.4k98% 0x2cf1…3ec7 NEW104d agoexcluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ $153.6k
4.5× usual
98% jinwujinshu104d agoexcluded
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ $15.7k98% DSvGndZzmaK11MrBm6sv7DBf104d agoexcluded