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What this means. A wallet put $153.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$153.6k
BUY No @ 98.5¢ · 155,897 shares
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite4.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet jinwujinshu took No (buy) for $153.6k at an average 98.5¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $153.6k+2
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−6567American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.5¢
- Implied odds
- 98.5%
- As American odds
- −6567 no vig
- Size
- $153.6k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 20:46 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 12, 02:56 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- jinwujinshu
- Tx
- 0xad01077e…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+21.6 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 98.5¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | HIGH SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $439.6k | excluded |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $81.9k | excluded |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $65.0k | excluded |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $433.4k | excluded |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $15.7k | excluded |