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What this means. A wallet put $50.5k on France, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$50.5k
BUY France @ 35¢ · 144,710 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet thesingularityisnear took France (buy) for $50.5k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved Spain. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $50.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 35¢ means
35%chance the market gave
+187American odds
$1.00paid per share if France wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 35¢
- Implied odds
- 34.9%
- As American odds
- +187 no vig
- Size
- $50.5k
- Placed
- Jul 14, 16:05 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Spain
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- thesingularityisnear
- Tx
- 0xea7aa1d0…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-3.0 pts
expected 0.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -35 ptsFrance price · entry 35¢ · resolved Spain
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $246.3k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $41.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.5¢ | $51.6k 2.4× usual |
excluded |