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What this means. A wallet put $51.6k on not Spain, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$51.6k
SELL Spain @ 99.5¢ · 51,820 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)2.4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet machbut took Spain (sell) for $51.6k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Spain. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $51.6k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.5¢
- Implied odds
- 0.5%
- Size
- $51.6k
- Placed
- Jul 14, 16:54 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Spain
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- machbut
- Tx
- 0x0dc40e09…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+10.7 pts
expected 6.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $246.3k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $41.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Spain @ 99.5¢ | $67.6k 2.7× usual |
excluded |