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What this means. A wallet put $32.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 12% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$32.9k
BUY Yes @ 12¢ · 265,321 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet thesingularityisnear took Yes (buy) for $32.9k at an average 12¢. At that price the market implied a 12% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $32.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 12¢ means
12%chance the market gave
+706American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 12¢
- Implied odds
- 12.4%
- As American odds
- +706 no vig
- Size
- $32.9k
- Placed
- Jul 05, 15:48 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- thesingularityisnear
- Tx
- 0x7e2d034b…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-3.0 pts
expected 0.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $100.3k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |