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What this means. A wallet put $151.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 33% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$151.2k
BUY No @ 33¢ · 458,906 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)4.6× this wallet's usual betPolitics
What happened
Wallet thesingularityisnear took No (buy) for $151.2k at an average 33¢. At that price the market implied a 33% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $151.2k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 33¢ means
33%chance the market gave
+203American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 33¢
- Implied odds
- 33.0%
- Size
- $151.2k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 05:16 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 03, 23:59 EST
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- thesingularityisnear
- Tx
- 0x44e0aeaa…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-3.0 pts
expected 0.0 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.5 ptsNo price · entry 33¢ · now 32¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $15.7k | pending |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $13.8k | pending |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $10.9k | pending |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW SELL No @ 36¢ | $10.3k | pending |