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Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

pending?Alert me on this market
Flags
5
Net whale flow → Yes
−$100.6k
Yes 7d ago → now
64¢→68¢
Category
Politics

Yes price

Drag to scrub · tap a dot for the trade · ● called ● missed ● pending ● excluded · times ET · what these mean
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
Smart gap
Proven money leans Yes at 68¢
Among the biggest holders: 1 proven wallet hold $255.6k of Yes; proven money on the other side $4,846, losing-record money there $8,472. Net +$259.2k.
Based on 3 rated wallets among the top holders. A lean, not a prediction. Information, not advice.

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 68¢1 proven · $255.6k
  1. BreakTheBank PROVEN +12.2 pts$255.6k
  2. BearKingdom$54.0k
  3. cocos228$48.5k
  4. 0xa672…f083$47.6k
  5. yuahldj$47.4k
  6. hell0pia$42.1k
  7. Monopoly_Money$34.8k
  8. Gonzillamemes$34.2k
  9. YouNoWho$33.7k
  10. 0xe234…304a$23.5k
  11. TeamA$23.3k
  12. reketor$23.2k
No 32¢1 proven · $4,846 · 1 losing · $8,472
  1. 0xa5ef…2966$246.6k
  2. thesingularityisnear$155.9k
  3. lomneivan$90.3k
  4. 11122$57.4k
  5. bullishkirby$44.5k
  6. 0x10b3…40d4$32.5k
  7. alexhamilton$19.6k
  8. 0xa0f2…1848$18.6k
  9. baran-ludoman$9,290
  10. mooseborzoi LOSING -16.0 pts$8,472
  11. macrosteaks$4,869
  12. nigiri99 PROVEN +7.5 pts$4,846

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$151.2k
1 flag
 none none
Yes$40.4k
3 flags
 $13.8k
1 wallet
 none
Not No$10.3k
1 flag
 $10.3k
1 wallet
 none

A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ $15.7k68% caribbeangambler12h agopending
MED BUY No @ 33¢ $151.2k
4.6× usual
33% thesingularityisnear23h agopending
LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ $13.8k69% MisTKy PROVEN1d agopending
LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ $10.9k68% peasant1d agopending
LOW SELL No @ 36¢ $10.3k64% MisTKy PROVEN3d agopending
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?pending
BUY Yes @ 68¢$15.7k
LOW caribbeangambler · 12h ago
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?pending
BUY No @ 33¢$151.2k
MED thesingularityisnear · 23h ago
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?pending
BUY Yes @ 69¢$13.8k
LOW PROVEN MisTKy · 1d ago
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?pending
BUY Yes @ 68¢$10.9k
LOW peasant · 1d ago
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?pending
SELL No @ 36¢$10.3k
LOW PROVEN MisTKy · 3d ago

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 5 whale trades on this market totalling $201.9k from 4 wallets. The largest was $151.2k (buy No at 33¢). Most whale money ($151.2k) went to No. The market has not resolved yet, so no flags here are graded. The biggest whale here, thesingularityisnear ($151.2k), has called 0 of 1 graded flags overall (-3.0 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (will-the-democratic-party-control-the-senate-after-the-2026-midterm-elections).