← Wallets
+$1,697Yes · avg 35¢ → 36¢ · $50.8k−$431Merab Dvalishvili · avg 42¢ → 42¢ · $39.4k−$342Yes · avg 25¢ → 24¢ · $36.4k+$6,246No · avg 77¢ → 93.5¢ · $36.2k−$891Yes · avg 34¢ → 32¢ · $25.7k−$1,260Yes · avg 30¢ → 28¢ · $21.5k−$24Yes · avg 77¢ → 77¢ · $18.1k−$1,179No · avg 30¢ → 28¢ · $16.9k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 16 of 23. The prices it paid implied about 14.3 wins, so it did +7.5 pts better than the market expected. That's no clear edge yet (+7.5 pts over 23 bets). Without its single best bet: +4.3 pts. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
+7.5 pts
Called / graded
16/23
Expected from price
14.3
Flagged volume
$903.3k
Sample size23 graded
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±9.4 pts std. error.
Graded P&L at their stakes
+$241k23 graded bets in the order they resolved · 16 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.
Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.
Without their best bet
Leave out the single bet that helped most (US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz at 23¢) and the edge is +4.3 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.
Calibration: won vs price paid
20–40¢
67% vs 31% · n=3
40–60¢
56% vs 53% · n=9
60–80¢
60% vs 72% · n=5
80–100¢
100% vs 83% · n=6
Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1.46M
Last 30 days −$307.8k · $129.63M volume · 448,430 trades · since Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$11.91M
Open P&L · 426 positions
−$27.6k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
208d
32951 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 17 | 10 | 10.0 | +0.1 pts |
| Economy | 6 | 6 | 4.3 | +28.3 pts |
History
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xdc41c39b95453c943174f369926018f6963bdd7e"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xdc41c39b95453c943174f369926018f6963bdd7e.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xdc41c3…