← Wallets
−$2,999No · avg 36¢ → 34¢ · $33.5k · 0 proven with, 2 against−$6,837No · avg 39¢ → 32¢ · $32.5k · 0 proven with, 1 against−$1,083Yes · avg 85¢ → 79¢ · $15.9k+$500No · avg 8¢ → 8.5¢ · $8,500−$497Yes · avg 8¢ → 7.5¢ · $7,500+$106No · avg 96.1¢ → 98.2¢ · $4,967+$156Yes · avg 79¢ → 82¢ · $3,687−$50No · avg 37¢ → 36¢ · $3,650
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did -22.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-22.9 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.5
Flagged volume
$39.0k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±31.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$14.4k
Last 30 days −$9,044 · $15.73M volume · 9,327 trades · since Jul 26, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.28M
Open P&L · 16 positions
−$16.5k
Closed-position win rate
75%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
820d
661 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | -22.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 89¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 21¢ | $10.5k | missed |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 33¢ | $13.3k | called |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x10b30364936b03d26b3fd01a63d1f991454b40d4"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x10b30364936b03d26b3fd01a63d1f991454b40d4.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x10b303…