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What this means. A wallet put $13.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.8k
BUY Yes @ 69¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletPolitics
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took Yes (buy) for $13.8k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied a 69% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.8k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 69¢ means
69%chance the market gave
−223American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 69¢
- Implied odds
- 69.0%
- Size
- $13.8k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 02:20 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 03, 23:59 EST
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0x4b5eb33e…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry -1.5 ptsYes price · entry 69¢ · now 68¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $15.7k | pending |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED BUY No @ 33¢ | $151.2k 4.6× usual |
pending |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $10.9k | pending |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW SELL No @ 36¢ | $10.3k | pending |