← Wallets
+$39.8kNo · avg 53¢ → 79¢ · $120.2k−$12.5kNo · avg 40¢ → 32¢ · $57.4k · 0 proven with, 1 against+$300No · avg 87¢ → 87¢ · $37.0k+$1,425Yes · avg 24¢ → 26¢ · $21.1k+$1,147No · avg 33¢ → 36¢ · $19.4k−$3,022Yes · avg 43¢ → 34¢ · $12.2k+$3,008Yes · avg 2¢ → 2.8¢ · $10.9k+$6,728Yes · avg 3¢ → 9.4¢ · $9,837
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.5 wins, so it did +15.4 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+15.4 pts
Called / graded
3/3
Expected from price
2.5
Flagged volume
$402.9k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±19.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$665.4k
Last 30 days +$36.9k · $206.90M volume · 395,332 trades · since Nov 11, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$7.00M
Open P&L · 221 positions
+$20.8k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
712d
4099 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.6 | +18.6 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +9.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY No @ 95.9¢ | $12.5k | called |
 Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
 Seahawks vs. Patriots | LOW BUY Seahawks @ 67¢ | $33.5k | called |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $39.9k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
 Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $169.7k 8.5× usual |
excluded |
 Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $10.7k | called |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $23.5k | called |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 88¢ | $14.5k | missed |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $17.6k | called |
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