← Wallets
+$14.6kNo · avg 91.5¢ → 96.3¢ · $292.7k−$17.2kYes · avg 88¢ → 80¢ · $184.5k+$3,917Yes · avg 62¢ → 68¢ · $47.4k · 1 proven with, 0 against+$6,173Yes · avg 47¢ → 78¢ · $15.3k+$448Yes · avg 76¢ → 84¢ · $4,986
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +12.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+12.5 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$326.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$268.5k
Last 30 days +$8,493 · $2.20M volume · 2,870 trades · since Jan 16, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$285.3k
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$6,056
Closed-position win rate
100%
9 closed
Wallet age · markets
281d
15 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +12.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 88¢ | $326.8k | called |
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