TeamA

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.7 wins, so it did +9.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House+$3,022Yes · avg 66¢ → 66¢ · $239.4k · 2 proven with, 0 against Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?+$28.8kNo · avg 79¢ → 94.5¢ · $179.0k · 1 proven with, 0 against Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?+$20.2kNo · avg 82¢ → 95.5¢ · $143.5k Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?−$203No · avg 80¢ → 80¢ · $61.5k Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?+$864Yes · avg 65¢ → 68¢ · $23.3k · 1 proven with, 0 against Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?+$496No · avg 65¢ → 68¢ · $13.4k US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?+$1,002No · avg 81¢ → 93.5¢ · $7,499

Price-adjusted edge

+9.3 pts

Called / graded

3/3

Expected from price

2.7

Flagged volume

$262.8k

Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±16.8 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$97.7k

Last 30 days +$201 · $1.35M volume · 176 trades · since Apr 09, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$48.7k

Open P&L · 7 positions

+$54.2k

Closed-position win rate

100%

1 closed

Wallet age · markets

198d

8 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Other	3	3	2.7	+9.3 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	LOW BUY No @ 90¢	$26.7k	90%	194d ago	called
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	MED BUY No @ 92¢	$125.8k	92%	195d ago	called
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	MED BUY No @ 90¢	$110.3k	90%	197d ago	called

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called

BUY No @ 90¢$26.7k

LOW TeamA · 194d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called

BUY No @ 92¢$125.8k

MED TeamA · 195d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called

BUY No @ 90¢$110.3k

MED TeamA · 197d ago

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