← Wallets
+$86.0kYes · avg 35¢ → 74¢ · $165.4k+$8,062Yes · avg 24¢ → 27¢ · $69.6k−$23.3kYes · avg 14¢ → 8.5¢ · $34.4k+$20.8kYes · avg 5.7¢ → 16¢ · $33.0k+$478Yes · avg 20¢ → 21¢ · $19.0k−$3,197No · avg 38¢ → 32¢ · $18.6k · 0 proven with, 1 against+$8,739Yes · avg 35¢ → 76¢ · $16.1k−$2,437Yes · avg 13¢ → 11¢ · $13.7k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.0 wins, so it did -23.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-23.9 pts
Called / graded
1/4
Expected from price
2.0
Flagged volume
$1.36M
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$3.49M
Last 30 days −$283.9k · $59.96M volume · 152,771 trades · since Dec 26, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$4.35M
Open P&L · 280 positions
+$23.6k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
302d
6650 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 1 | 2.0 | -23.9 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-07-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $10.4k | missed |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $23.6k | missed |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $23.7k | missed |
 Knicks vs. Spurs | MED BUY Knicks @ 33¢ | $94.8k 2.4× usual |
called |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | MED BUY Spurs @ 31¢ | $60.7k | excluded |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | LOW BUY Rockets @ 68¢ | $33.3k | excluded |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 85¢ | $42.1k | excluded |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | LOW BUY Celtics @ 88¢ | $43.7k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 73¢ | $35.9k | excluded |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 69¢ | $33.9k | excluded |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Spurs @ 86¢ | $42.6k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Pistons | LOW BUY Pistons @ 79¢ | $39.0k | excluded |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 69¢ | $33.9k | excluded |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | LOW BUY Clippers @ 67¢ | $32.8k | excluded |
| Heat vs. Hornets | LOW BUY Hornets @ 70¢ | $34.4k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Celtics | LOW BUY Magic @ 85¢ | $42.1k | excluded |
 Seahawks vs. Patriots | LOW SELL Patriots @ 31¢ | $76.0k | called |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | HIGH BUY Patriots @ 33¢ | $298.2k 7.6× usual |
missed |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | MED SELL Seahawks @ 67¢ | $160.4k 4.1× usual |
missed |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | MED BUY Seahawks @ 69¢ | $165.2k 4.2× usual |
called |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99¢ | $31.1k | excluded |
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