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What this means. A wallet put $42.1k on Magic, at a price that gave it a 85% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Magic vs. Celticsexcluded
$42.1k
BUY Magic @ 85¢ · 49,550 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0xa0f2…1848 took Magic (buy) for $42.1k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 85% chance for that side. The market resolved Celtics. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $42.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 85¢ means
85%chance the market gave
−567American odds
$1.00paid per share if Magic wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
85¢
Implied odds
85.0%
As American odds
−567 no vig
Size
$42.1k
Placed
Apr 12, 17:51 EDT
Market close
Apr 12, 18:00 EDT
Result
Celtics
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0xa0f2…1848
Tx
0xd526c15a…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-23.9 pts
expected 2.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -85 pts
Magic price · entry 85¢ · resolved Celtics
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 85¢ · $42.1k WHALE $42.1K @ 85¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Magic vs. CelticsLOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ $14.2k0% pendler194d agoexcluded
Magic vs. CelticsLOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ $14.4k0% K1t0ng2194d agoexcluded
Magic vs. CelticsLOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ $19.2k0% beinevitable194d agoexcluded
Magic vs. CelticsMED SELL Celtics @ 96.3¢ $43.4k
2.5× usual
4% KimchiCat194d agoexcluded
Magic vs. CelticsLOW SELL Celtics @ 82¢ $14.7k18% mitraa194d agoexcluded
Magic vs. CelticsMED SELL Celtics @ 80¢ $32.7k20% RevengeProsper194d agoexcluded