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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.7 wins, so it did -34.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-34.0 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.7
Flagged volume
$62.2k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$15.3k
Last 30 days +$911 · $3.18M volume · 4,486 trades · since Mar 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$75.1k
Open P&L · 47 positions
−$61.1k
Closed-position win rate
79%
180 closed
Wallet age · markets
222d
188 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.7 | -34.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 16¢ | $11.0k | called |
 Rockets vs. Lakers | LOW SELL Lakers @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Celtics | LOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Magic vs. Celtics | LOW BUY Magic @ 84¢ | $12.8k | missed |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | LOW SELL Lakers @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x05280f…