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What this means. A wallet put $23.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.6k
BUY Yes @ 52¢ · 45,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0xa0f2…1848 took Yes (buy) for $23.6k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 52¢ means
52%chance the market gave
−111American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 52¢
- Implied odds
- 52.5%
- As American odds
- −111 no vig
- Size
- $23.6k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 15:55 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xa0f2…1848
- Tx
- 0x409aeded…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-23.9 pts
expected 2.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -52 ptsYes price · entry 52¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $107.8k 4.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | MED SELL No @ 78¢ | $43.9k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $17.4k | excluded |