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Will England win on 2026-07-11?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $107.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -16.0 pts vs the price over 55 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will England win on 2026-07-11?excluded$107.8k
SELL No @ 99.8¢ · 108,025 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)4.8× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet mooseborzoi took No (sell) for $107.8k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $107.8k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 0.2%
- Size
- $107.8k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 19:54 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- mooseborzoi
- Tx
- 0xa02b9ecf…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-16.0 pts
expected 36.8 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | MED SELL No @ 78¢ | $43.9k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $17.4k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | MED BUY No @ 65¢ | $48.5k | excluded |