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+$13.1kNo · avg 38¢ → 85¢ · $23.8k+$4,479No · avg 12¢ → 34¢ · $6,979
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.3 wins, so it did -31.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-31.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.3
Flagged volume
$1.14M
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$232.4k
Last 30 days +$61.5k · $51.77M volume · 74,257 trades · since Dec 19, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$2.81M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$1.80M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
309d
2835 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | -31.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | LOW SELL Yes @ 50¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
 Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11? | LOW SELL Yes @ 47¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | MED BUY Spain @ 96.4¢ | $165.4k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 69¢ | $19.3k | missed |
| France vs. England: O/U 6.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 88¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | MED BUY No @ 65¢ | $48.5k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL No @ 64¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $118.6k 4.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.2¢ | $77.5k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ | $70.2k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 53¢ | $28.6k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $77.8k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | LOW BUY No @ 62¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | MED SELL Yes @ 52¢ | $141.0k 5.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | MED BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $125.4k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 58¢ | $42.2k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | LOW SELL Yes @ 28¢ | $20.5k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | MED BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $49.6k | excluded |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 20¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 25¢ | $23.9k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 54¢ | $23.3k | excluded |
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
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