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cymcity

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +4.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

No · 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Same side: 0 proven · 0 losing   Other side: 2 proven · 0 losing
Price-adjusted edge
+4.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$80.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±19.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$7,875
Last 30 days −$67 · $203.9k volume · 99 trades · since Jan 24, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$7,942
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
86%
28 closed
Wallet age · markets
273d
31 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other111.0+4.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseLOW BUY No @ 93¢ $12.6k93% 59m agopending
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW BUY No @ 96¢ $11.7k96% 75d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 95.1¢ $10.9k5% 120d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $10.5k92% 126d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW SELL No @ 95.6¢ $11.7k4% 157d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $11.5k94% 164d agocalled
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.8k0% 168d agoexcluded

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