← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $11.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 8% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.5k
SELL No @ 92¢ · 12,474 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet 0xe234…304a took No (sell) for $11.5k at an average 92¢. At that price the market implied a 8% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 92¢
- Implied odds
- 8.0%
- Size
- $11.5k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 10:47 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 03, 23:59 EST
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xe234…304a
- Tx
- 0xaf68319a…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+5.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry -0.5 ptsNo price · entry 92¢ · now 92.5¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $13.4k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | LOW SELL No @ 91¢ | $16.0k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | HIGH SELL No @ 92¢ | $48.1k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | MED BUY Yes @ 8¢ | $75.5k 2.3× usual |
pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | LOW SELL No @ 92¢ | $10.1k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | HIGH BUY Yes @ 8.9¢ | $30.0k | pending |