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What this means. A wallet put $12.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.9k
BUY No @ 99.3¢ · 13,031 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletPolitics
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took No (buy) for $12.9k at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.9k+0
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−13447American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.3¢
- Implied odds
- 99.3%
- Size
- $12.9k
- Placed
- Oct 24, 00:58 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 03, 23:59 EST
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0x92eb018c…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry +0.0 ptsNo price · entry 99.3¢ · now 99.3¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $14.5k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $43.1k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ | $16.4k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $19.9k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | LOW SELL Yes @ 0.7¢ | $13.9k | pending |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ | $28.6k | pending |