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2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

pending?Alert me on this market
Flags
7
Net whale flow → Yes
−$116.4k
Yes 7d ago → now
0.9¢→0.7¢
Category
Politics

Yes price

Drag to scrub · tap a dot for the trade · ● called ● missed ● pending ● excluded · times ET · what these mean
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
Smart gap
Proven money leans No at 99.3¢
Among the biggest holders: 2 proven wallets hold $63.5k of No; proven money on the other side $17.9k, losing-record money there $0. Net +$45.6k.
Based on 3 rated wallets among the top holders. A lean, not a prediction. Information, not advice.

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 0.7¢1 proven · $17.9k
  1. BreakTheBank PROVEN +9.2 pts$17.9k
  2. vadermike$5,549
  3. choyou82$1,365
  4. 11122$1,204
  5. tkdnbb$961
  6. Felik$871
  7. timetowander$825
  8. supersmard$643
  9. allenhall$545
  10. ChoYou$502
  11. TimeTraveler$429
  12. xixingxiaoqi$382
No 99.3¢2 proven · $63.5k
  1. 0xa5ef…2966$4.86M
  2. ndb1 PROVEN +12.9 pts$60.6k
  3. chongchongpanda$14.3k
  4. 57284910$8,937
  5. 0x39aa…583c$6,481
  6. Contestable-Parfait$3,100
  7. momo513$2,979
  8. ScottyNooo PROVEN +15.0 pts$2,934
  9. wish-$2,482
  10. Plant2tri$1,999
  11. kinderSman$1,986
  12. Elias.Thornwell$1,562

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$118.9k
5 flags
 $90.3k
1 wallet
 none
Not No$16.4k
1 flag
 none none
Not Yes$13.9k
1 flag
 $13.9k
1 wallet
 none

A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $14.5k99% ndb1 PROVEN2h agopending
LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $43.1k99% ndb1 PROVEN9h agopending
LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ $16.4k1% Albedo0017h agopending
LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $19.9k99% ndb1 PROVEN21h agopending
LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $12.9k99% ndb1 PROVEN22h agopending
LOW SELL Yes @ 0.7¢ $13.9k99% ndb1 PROVEN1d agopending
LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $28.6k99% Albedo001d agopending
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R Housepending
BUY No @ 99.3¢$14.5k
LOW PROVEN ndb1 · 2h ago
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R Housepending
BUY No @ 99.3¢$43.1k
LOW PROVEN ndb1 · 9h ago
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R Housepending
SELL No @ 99.2¢$16.4k
LOW Albedo00 · 17h ago
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R Housepending
BUY No @ 99.2¢$19.9k
LOW PROVEN ndb1 · 21h ago
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R Housepending
BUY No @ 99.3¢$12.9k
LOW PROVEN ndb1 · 22h ago
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R Housepending
SELL Yes @ 0.7¢$13.9k
LOW PROVEN ndb1 · 1d ago
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R Housepending
BUY No @ 98.7¢$28.6k
LOW Albedo00 · 1d ago

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 7 whale trades on this market totalling $149.2k from 2 wallets. The largest was $43.1k (buy No at 99.3¢). Most whale money ($118.9k) went to No. The market has not resolved yet, so no flags here are graded. The biggest whale here, ndb1 ($104.2k), has called 16 of 25 graded flags overall (+12.9 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (2026-balance-of-power-d-senate-r-house-692).