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Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?pending
What this means. A wallet put $132.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 74% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$132.0k
BUY Yes @ 74¢ · 177,331 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletPolitics
What happened
Wallet acasrbin took Yes (buy) for $132.0k at an average 74¢. At that price the market implied a 74% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $132.0k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 74¢ means
74%chance the market gave
−291American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 74¢
- Implied odds
- 74.4%
- Size
- $132.0k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 22:51 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 25, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- acasrbin
- Tx
- 0x29998612…
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Price since this bet
Since entry -0.9 ptsYes price · entry 74¢ · now 74¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW Yes UP +11.0 pts $132.0k whale money behind it | $125.7k 24h vol |
pending | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $29.9k | pending |