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What this means. A wallet put $132.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 74% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?pending
$132.0k
BUY Yes @ 74¢ · 177,331 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletPolitics

What happened

Wallet acasrbin took Yes (buy) for $132.0k at an average 74¢. At that price the market implied a 74% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $132.0k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 74¢ means
74%chance the market gave
−291American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
74¢
Implied odds
74.4%
Size
$132.0k
Placed
Oct 23, 22:51 EDT
Market close
Oct 25, 19:59 EDT
Result
not settled yet
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
acasrbin
Tx
0x29998612…

Price since this bet

Since entry -0.9 pts
Yes price · entry 74¢ · now 74¢
69¢77¢85¢ Whale entry 74¢ · $132.0k WHALE $132.0K @ 74¢ -1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?LOW Yes UP +11.0 pts $132.0k whale money behind it $125.7k
24h vol
80% —4h agopending
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?MED BUY Yes @ 70¢ $29.9k70% bakasepra NEW1d agopending