acasrbin

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?−$10.6kYes · avg 74¢ → 68¢ · $121.7k

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$132.0k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$5,227

Last 30 days +$0 · $177.6k volume · 3 trades · since Oct 24, 07:49 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$0

Open P&L · 1 positions

−$10.6k

Closed-position win rate

—

0 closed

Wallet age · markets

1 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 74¢	$132.0k	74%	16h ago	pending

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?pending

BUY Yes @ 74¢$132.0k

HIGH New wallet acasrbin · 16h ago

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