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What this means. A wallet put $109.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 8% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$109.5k
SELL Yes @ 92¢ · 119,017 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side3 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet2.2× this wallet's usual betPolitics
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took Yes (sell) for $109.5k at an average 92¢. At that price the market implied a 8% chance for that side. The market hasn't resolved yet.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $109.5k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
3 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 92¢
- Implied odds
- 8.0%
- Size
- $109.5k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 14:21 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 03, 23:59 EST
- Result
- pending
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0x5cde3473…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry +0.5 ptsYes price · entry 92¢ · now 91.5¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $15.0k | pending |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $14.3k | pending |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $132.4k | pending |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $50.0k | pending |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $18.4k | pending |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $18.4k | pending |