0x1002…0fcf

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +10.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?−$806Yes · avg 93¢ → 91.5¢ · $49.2k

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

Yes · Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Same side: 0 proven · 0 losing Other side: 1 proven · 0 losing

Price-adjusted edge

+10.2 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.9

Flagged volume

$170.6k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±30.2 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$9,785

Last 30 days −$806 · $288.0k volume · 10 trades · since Mar 16, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$10.6k

Open P&L · 1 positions

−$806

Closed-position win rate

100%

8 closed

Wallet age · markets

222d

9 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Other	1	1	0.9	+10.2 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢	$50.0k	93%	2d ago	pending
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢	$100.5k 2.0× usual	98%	112d ago	excluded
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	LOW BUY No @ 90¢	$20.1k	90%	222d ago	called

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?pending

BUY Yes @ 93¢$50.0k

LOW 0x1002…0fcf · 2d ago

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 97.5¢$100.5k

LOW 0x1002…0fcf · 112d ago

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?called

BUY No @ 90¢$20.1k

LOW 0x1002…0fcf · 222d ago

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