← Wallets
+$2,103No · avg 91.7¢ → 92.5¢ · $246.6k−$380No · avg 84¢ → 83¢ · $28.7k+$2,179No · avg 75¢ → 86¢ · $17.1k+$186No · avg 89¢ → 90¢ · $12.4k+$964Yes · avg 89¢ → 96.4¢ · $12.4k+$92Yes · avg 76¢ → 76¢ · $9,945−$453Yes · avg 56¢ → 53¢ · $6,877+$30Yes · avg 87¢ → 88¢ · $5,336
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did +52.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+52.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$486.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±50.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$60.5k
Last 30 days +$1,350 · $3.69M volume · 3,784 trades · since Jul 09, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$46.7k
Open P&L · 45 positions
+$5,896
Closed-position win rate
63%
142 closed
Wallet age · markets
107d
179 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +52.0 pts |
History
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