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What this means. A wallet put $15.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 20% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.1k
BUY Yes @ 20¢ · 75,628 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletPolitics
What happened
Wallet wagwanshawty took Yes (buy) for $15.1k at an average 20¢. At that price the market implied a 20% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $15.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 20¢ means
20%chance the market gave
+400American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 20¢
- Implied odds
- 20.0%
- Size
- $15.1k
- Placed
- Oct 24, 00:10 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 04, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- wagwanshawty
- Tx
- 0x1df3b5b2…
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Price since this bet
Since entry +0.5 ptsYes price · entry 20¢ · now 20¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $13.7k | pending |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $10.0k | pending |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | MED BUY Yes @ 25¢ | $22.5k | pending |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $11.8k | pending |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $19.0k | pending |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $11.4k | pending |