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What this means. A wallet put $11.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.8k
BUY No @ 79¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Politics
What happened
Wallet timetowander took No (buy) for $11.8k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 79¢ means
79%chance the market gave
−376American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 79¢
- Implied odds
- 79.0%
- Size
- $11.8k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 09:20 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 04, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- timetowander
- Tx
- 0xc72392ff…
This wallet's graded record
8/11+10.9 pts
expected 6.8 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry +0.5 ptsNo price · entry 79¢ · now 80¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $13.7k | pending |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | MED BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $15.1k | pending |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $10.0k | pending |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | MED BUY Yes @ 25¢ | $22.5k | pending |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $19.0k | pending |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 80¢ | $11.4k | pending |