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+$56Yes · avg 20¢ → 20¢ · $26.9k · 0 proven with, 1 against+$310Yes · avg 78¢ → 79¢ · $14.6k+$20No · avg 20¢ → 21¢ · $498−$167Yes · avg 18¢ → 12¢ · $294
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Same side: 0 proven · 0 losing Other side: 1 proven · 0 losing
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$15.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$198
Last 30 days −$438 · $277.2k volume · 186 trades · since Oct 21, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$12.4k
Open P&L · 4 positions
+$220
Closed-position win rate
71%
7 closed
Wallet age · markets
3d
10 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | MED BUY Yes @ 20¢ | $15.1k | pending |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe57145…