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pelik

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did -25.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Open bets: who else is there

Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.

None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.

Price-adjusted edge
-25.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$402.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±43.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$76.4k
Last 30 days −$14.7k · $37.27M volume · 100,123 trades · since Oct 08, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$113.8k
Open P&L · 36 positions
+$8
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
381d
39472 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other100.2-25.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Set 1 Winner: Polina Iatcenko vs Alexandra ShubladzeLOW BUY Polina Iatcenko @ 99.9¢ $10.0k100% 5h agoexcluded
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $75.5k
2.5× usual
100% 1d agopending
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $21.0k100% 128d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $29.9k0% 142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $29.9k100% 144d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $21.9k100% 176d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $29.9k0% 176d agoexcluded
Trail Blazers vs. NuggetsMED SELL Nuggets @ 72¢ $38.7k28% 200d agoexcluded
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $45.0k0% 200d agoexcluded
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k100% 201d agoexcluded
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ $38.6k99% 236d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?LOW SELL No @ 75¢ $11.7k25% 253d agomissed

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