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RememberAmalek

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.2 wins, so it did -40.9 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-40.9 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
2.2
Flagged volume
$303.2k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$974.7k
Last 30 days +$3,601 · $40.14M volume · 57,667 trades · since Jul 05, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.59M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$306.7k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
841d
2104 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other312.2-40.9 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $29.9k100% 142d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k
3.1× usual
100% 176d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% 177d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $34.9k
2.2× usual
100% 177d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $59.9k
3.8× usual
100% 185d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ $11.2k100% 185d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 96.1¢ $14.5k96% 237d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 10¢ $11.7k10% 238d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?LOW BUY No @ 85¢ $11.1k85% 249d agomissed
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $16.0k100% 262d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY No @ 83¢ $14.1k83% 265d agomissed
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $17.8k89% 266d agocalled
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 49¢ $12.1k49% 272d agomissed

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