{"flags":[{"condition_id":"0x3733a1b647e7364095736ab0966465d896a84cf3b6bc1695ca1f26c3239b3868","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x8175c42772279b7fedb2dbf6547597f1c385ff9432f110c1db63bb93ca4b11c3:1","id":"trade:0x8175c42772279b7fedb2dbf6547597f1c385ff9432f110c1db63bb93ca4b11c3:1","implied":0.997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.997,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1780511833,"title":"MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?","usd":29910.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7a"},{"condition_id":"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x2a8f2bac21f89d33d6eea1791651e447f5363834854d5fb4d011348d60e8f923:1","id":"trade:0x2a8f2bac21f89d33d6eea1791651e447f5363834854d5fb4d011348d60e8f923:1","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1777569380,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","usd":49950.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7a"},{"condition_id":"0xe443dab97ad8b7f58558cc7a6a3932d156031e962a451e0461e9a4578d78fe84","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xe89e42c26f2c1323bddfac11e93419b3b9ef5ab3d65d4c1ee2ad25a5c17bb78d:1","id":"trade:0xe89e42c26f2c1323bddfac11e93419b3b9ef5ab3d65d4c1ee2ad25a5c17bb78d:1","implied":0.0010000000000000009,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.999,"result":"missed","side":"SELL","status":"excluded","t":1777513212,"title":"Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?","usd":19979.960039999998,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7a"},{"condition_id":"0x1d2787cb8aed975d092b2799ed6f4083e9445f7420cdc09e9d47e7d54356c6cd","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x0d724dd05fc26838957edb69720020fdbf5000b23378acec2856cca1ef932e26:1","id":"trade:0x0d724dd05fc26838957edb69720020fdbf5000b23378acec2856cca1ef932e26:1","implied":0.997,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.997,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1777498824,"title":"US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?","usd":34895.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7a"},{"condition_id":"0x5c2e6aef8af5931e9bfa3750364626d754531d2fada2885d45c356b175962a25","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xa1e85febfce23a16f2fae2198127d77fdf5342548e5ac6325f04a968273e3739:0","id":"trade:0xa1e85febfce23a16f2fae2198127d77fdf5342548e5ac6325f04a968273e3739:0","implied":0.999,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.999,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1776795062,"title":"Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?","usd":59940.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7a"},{"condition_id":"0x8183a221622f2d5d2b46da86c80d55a61f43d35829589e03c1efae9d072638c5","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x6da898b0496a5c067079b5bde663b0ec1607723573d853f59fff3034094db8e3:0","id":"trade:0x6da898b0496a5c067079b5bde663b0ec1607723573d853f59fff3034094db8e3:0","implied":0.996,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.996,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1776794796,"title":"Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?","usd":11207.70912,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7a"},{"condition_id":"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x295cee6f59ffa93e1da9a14999a53f93cb718407c291eb70e8ac364b722c1297:0","id":"trade:0x295cee6f59ffa93e1da9a14999a53f93cb718407c291eb70e8ac364b722c1297:0","implied":0.9609980153,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.9609980153,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772323397,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","usd":14526.253799671738,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7a"},{"condition_id":"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x54787b90b9a00ec78a88bcc52ad6186c12c0a62521e57b514bdb328295895bd5:0","id":"trade:0x54787b90b9a00ec78a88bcc52ad6186c12c0a62521e57b514bdb328295895bd5:0","implied":0.0995949765,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"Yes","price":0.0995949765,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1772260875,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","usd":11725.763764789486,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7a"},{"condition_id":"0x70909f0ba8256a89c301da58812ae47203df54957a07c7f8b10235e877ad63c2","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x350b82fea66ca42abcea999427ee27132a667d56b42f49dd721fd806c965d173:1","id":"trade:0x350b82fea66ca42abcea999427ee27132a667d56b42f49dd721fd806c965d173:1","implied":0.85,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.85,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1771263981,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?","usd":11080.9825,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7a"},{"condition_id":"0x5abe3287197d0a924707ce99130643c92751c209fc0e376c6700d6673b43ada5","excluded_reason":"after_close","href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x97781c72878b3da449a3bbd37fbadbfbf51342bd3a7047a5e2f2ad08fba641e0:1","id":"trade:0x97781c72878b3da449a3bbd37fbadbfbf51342bd3a7047a5e2f2ad08fba641e0:1","implied":0.998,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.998,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"excluded","t":1770125762,"title":"Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?","usd":15968.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7a"},{"condition_id":"0xd4bbf7f6707c67beb736135ad32a41f6db41f8ae52d3ac4919650de9eeb94ed8","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x9d2563943c7420abe6370cbfb0879ed63ad04d639358de25bff7f5d0165f3693:1","id":"trade:0x9d2563943c7420abe6370cbfb0879ed63ad04d639358de25bff7f5d0165f3693:1","implied":0.83,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.83,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1769923572,"title":"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?","usd":14118.9391,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7a"},{"condition_id":"0xabb86b080e9858dcb3f46954010e49b6f539c20036856c7f999395bfd58d01e6","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0x50fb231afcd95ceab6dc3a5b170f5fb3bdd6e3548192461ae9f1249134fadbda:1","id":"trade:0x50fb231afcd95ceab6dc3a5b170f5fb3bdd6e3548192461ae9f1249134fadbda:1","implied":0.89,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.89,"result":"called","side":"BUY","status":"called","t":1769769566,"title":"US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?","usd":17800.0,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7a"},{"condition_id":"0x3488f31e6449f9803f99a8b5dd232c7ad883637f1c86e6953305a2ef19c77f20","excluded_reason":null,"href":"https://whalegrader.com/flag/trade:0xec47f4bbe01662e14e2ef6bbfc957cea0229f3c8da673e7418f9eb58ae6870bc:1","id":"trade:0xec47f4bbe01662e14e2ef6bbfc957cea0229f3c8da673e7418f9eb58ae6870bc:1","implied":0.4880794297,"kind":"whale_trade","outcome":"No","price":0.4880794297,"result":"missed","side":"BUY","status":"missed","t":1769245222,"title":"US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?","usd":12100.9533005521,"venue":"polymarket","wallet":"0x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7a"}],"record":{"called":1,"edge":-0.40935980990000004,"exp_rate":0.7426931432333334,"expected":2.2280794297,"hit":0.3333333333333333,"n":3,"se":0.22979650418086647},"wallet":"0x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7a"}
