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What this means. A wallet put $12.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.1k
BUY No @ 49¢ · 24,793 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet RememberAmalek took No (buy) for $12.1k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+105American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 48.8%
- Size
- $12.1k
- Placed
- Jan 24, 04:00 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- RememberAmalek
- Tx
- 0xec47f4bb…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-40.9 pts
expected 2.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -49 ptsNo price · entry 49¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $39.3k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $222.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $22.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |